Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin preview and prediction
The match
Legia Warszawa host Zaglebie Lubin in the Ekstraklasa on Friday 17 April, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Józef. Legia Warszawa are 3rd with 24 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th on 23 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Legia Warszawa's last 4: WDDD Most recently they beat Pogon Szczecin 2–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Zaglebie Lubin's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Arka Gdynia 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Legia Warszawa and 0.7 for Zaglebie Lubin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Legia Warszawa 62%, draw 23%, Zaglebie Lubin 15%.
Safer route: Legia Warszawa or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Legia Warszawa 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Legia Warszawa62%fair 1.61 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.75
Zaglebie Lubin15%fair 6.83 · @5.40
2.56Expected goals
1.81Legia Warszawa xG
0.75Zaglebie Lubin xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Legia Warszawa 1.8 – 0.7 Zaglebie Lubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Legia Warszawa to win✓
62%
1.61
1.62
Double chance
Legia Warszawa or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Half-time result
Legia Warszawa ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.13
–
Form
Legia Warszawa – last 4
WDDD
6 Apr
@ Pogon Szczecin
2–0
W
13 Mar
@ Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Jagiellonia
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ GKS Katowice
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Zaglebie Lubin – last 5
LLLWW
7 Apr
@ Arka Gdynia
1–3
L
20 Mar
@ Motor Lublin
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Lech Poznan
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Wisla Plock
2–0
W
23 Feb
@ Lechia Gdansk
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Legia Warszawa and Zaglebie Lubin.
What is the prediction for Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
On our numbers Legia Warszawa have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Zaglebie Lubin 15%.
How many goals will there be in Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Our predicted score is Legia Warszawa 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Józef.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
