Value bet: Motor Lublin to win @ 3.35 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGKS Katowice to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90
GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin preview and prediction
The match
Motor Lublin travel to Arena Katowice in the Ekstraklasa on Friday 17 April (17:00 WAT) to face GKS Katowice. GKS Katowice are 8th with 21 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Motor Lublin sit 10th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
GKS Katowice's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Wisla Plock 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Motor Lublin's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Radomiak Radom 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for GKS Katowice and 1.3 for Motor Lublin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: GKS Katowice 47%, draw 20%, Motor Lublin 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Motor Lublin to win at 3.35 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: GKS Katowice 1–1 Motor Lublin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
GKS Katowice47%fair 2.13 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.65
Motor Lublin33%fair 3.04 · @3.35
2.86Expected goals
1.59GKS Katowice xG
1.28Motor Lublin xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: GKS Katowice 1.6 – 1.3 Motor Lublin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GKS Katowice to win✓
47%
2.13
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GKS Katowice / FT GKS Katowice✓
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.90
–
Form
GKS Katowice – last 5
WLWLD
4 Apr
vs Wisla Plock
1–0
W
17 Mar
@ Jagiellonia
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Radomiak Radom
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Arka Gdynia
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Legia Warszawa
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Motor Lublin – last 6
DWWDWL
6 Apr
@ Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs Zaglebie Lubin
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Nieciecza
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Gornik Zabrze
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Piast Gliwice
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Lechia Gdansk
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GKS Katowice and Motor Lublin.
What is the prediction for GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin?
On our numbers GKS Katowice have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Motor Lublin 33%.
How many goals will there be in GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin?
Our predicted score is GKS Katowice 1–1 Motor Lublin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin?
GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Katowice.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
