Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa prediction & analysis
74%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28
8/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: Raków Częstochowa to win @ 3.05 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultLegia Warszawa to win40% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–010% · fair 9.63
Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa preview and prediction
The match
Raków Częstochowa travel to Stadion Wojska Polskiego in the Ekstraklasa on Sunday 22 March (20:15 WAT) to face Legia Warszawa. Legia Warszawa are 3rd with 24 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Raków Częstochowa sit 16th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Legia Warszawa's last 3: DDD Most recently they drew with Radomiak Radom 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Raków Częstochowa's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Fiorentina 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Legia Warszawa and 1.2 for Raków Częstochowa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Legia Warszawa 40%, draw 24%, Raków Częstochowa 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Raków Częstochowa to win at 3.05 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Legia Warszawa 1–1 Raków Częstochowa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Legia Warszawa40%fair 2.50 · @2.28
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Raków Częstochowa36%fair 2.77 · @3.05
2.53Expected goals
1.31Legia Warszawa xG
1.23Raków Częstochowa xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Legia Warszawa 1.3 – 1.2 Raków Częstochowa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Legia Warszawa to win
40%
2.50
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.73
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
10%
9.63
–
Form
Legia Warszawa – last 3
DDD
13 Mar
@ Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Jagiellonia
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ GKS Katowice
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Raków Częstochowa – last 6
LLLWDL
19 Mar
vs Fiorentina
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Gornik Zabrze
1–3
L
12 Mar
@ Fiorentina
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Pogon Szczecin
2–0
W
5 Mar
@ Avia Świdnik
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Lech Poznan
3–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Legia Warszawa and Raków Częstochowa.
What is the prediction for Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?
On our numbers Legia Warszawa have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Raków Częstochowa 36%.
How many goals will there be in Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our predicted score is Legia Warszawa 1–1 Raków Częstochowa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?
Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Wojska Polskiego.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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