Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Korona Kielce or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Korona Kielce to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKorona Kielce to win ✓58% · @1.90
Double chanceKorona Kielce or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.14
Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia preview and prediction
The match
Arka Gdynia travel to Exbud Arena in the Ekstraklasa on Sunday 22 March (12:15 WAT) to face Korona Kielce.
Form guide
Korona Kielce's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Pogon Szczecin 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Arka Gdynia's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Widzew Łódź 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Korona Kielce and 0.8 for Arka Gdynia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Korona Kielce 58%, draw 24%, Arka Gdynia 18%.
Safer route: Korona Kielce or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Korona Kielce to win at 1.90 – 58% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Korona Kielce or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Korona Kielce 1–0 Arka Gdynia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Korona Kielce58%fair 1.71 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.30
Arka Gdynia18%fair 5.58 · @4.10
2.48Expected goals
1.68Korona Kielce xG
0.80Arka Gdynia xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Korona Kielce 1.7 – 0.8 Arka Gdynia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Korona Kielce to win✓
58%
1.71
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Korona Kielce or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Korona Kielce / FT Korona Kielce✓
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.14
–
Form
Korona Kielce – last 3
LLW
16 Mar
@ Pogon Szczecin
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Lech Poznan
1–2
L
13 Feb
@ Radomiak Radom
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arka Gdynia – last 6
DWLDWL
15 Mar
vs Widzew Łódź
0–0
D
9 Mar
@ Wisla Plock
3–0
W
5 Mar
@ Radomiak Radom
1–3
L
27 Feb
vs Lechia Gdansk
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs GKS Katowice
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Pogon Szczecin
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Korona Kielce and Arka Gdynia.
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia?
Our pick is Korona Kielce or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia?
On our numbers Korona Kielce have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arka Gdynia 18%.
How many goals will there be in Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia?
Our predicted score is Korona Kielce 1–0 Arka Gdynia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia?
Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Exbud Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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