Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa preview and prediction
The match
Jagiellonia host Legia Warszawa in the Ekstraklasa on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 14:45 (WAT) at Chorten Arena. Jagiellonia are 9th with 21 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Legia Warszawa sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jagiellonia's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Fiorentina 3–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Jagiellonia and 1.2 for Legia Warszawa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jagiellonia 44%, draw 22%, Legia Warszawa 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Jagiellonia 1–1 Legia Warszawa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jagiellonia44%fair 2.26 · @2.26
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.35
Legia Warszawa34%fair 2.93 · @3.00
2.71Expected goals
1.46Jagiellonia xG
1.24Legia Warszawa xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Jagiellonia 1.5 – 1.2 Legia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jagiellonia to win✗
44%
2.26
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jagiellonia / FT Jagiellonia✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.24
–
Form
Jagiellonia – last 3
WDL
26 Feb
@ Fiorentina
3–0
W
22 Feb
vs Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Fiorentina
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Legia Warszawa – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ GKS Katowice
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jagiellonia and Legia Warszawa.
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa?
On our numbers Jagiellonia have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Legia Warszawa 34%.
How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Jagiellonia 1–1 Legia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa?
Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Chorten Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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