Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Tottenham to win @ 3.60 – our chance 36% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChelsea to win ✓41% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.47
Chelsea vs Tottenham preview and prediction
The match
Chelsea host Tottenham in the Premier League on Tuesday 19 May, with kick-off at 20:15 (WAT) at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea are 5th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Tottenham sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Chelsea's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Liverpool 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Tottenham's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Nottingham Forest 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Chelsea and 1.4 for Tottenham. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chelsea 41%, draw 23%, Tottenham 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Tottenham to win at 3.60 – 36% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Chelsea 1–1 Tottenham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chelsea41%fair 2.42 · @1.96
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.55
Tottenham36%fair 2.77 · @3.60
2.95Expected goals
1.54Chelsea xG
1.42Tottenham xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Chelsea 1.5 – 1.4 Tottenham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelsea to win✓
41%
2.42
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.55
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelsea / FT Chelsea✓
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.47
–
Form
Chelsea – last 6
DLLLLW
9 May
@ Liverpool
1–1
D
4 May
vs Nottingham Forest
1–3
L
21 Apr
@ Brighton
0–3
L
17 Mar
vs Paris Saint Germain
0–3
L
11 Mar
@ Paris Saint Germain
2–5
L
4 Mar
@ Aston Villa
4–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Tottenham – last 6
LWDLLL
22 Mar
vs Nottingham Forest
0–3
L
18 Mar
vs Atletico Madrid
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Liverpool
1–1
D
10 Mar
@ Atletico Madrid
2–5
L
5 Mar
vs Crystal Palace
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Fulham
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelsea and Tottenham.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chelsea vs Tottenham?
On our numbers Chelsea have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tottenham 36%.
How many goals will there be in Chelsea vs Tottenham?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Our predicted score is Chelsea 1–1 Tottenham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Chelsea vs Tottenham (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Stamford Bridge.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
