Bournemouth vs Manchester City prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Manchester City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultManchester City to win ✗59% · @1.71
Double chanceManchester City or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Bournemouth vs Manchester City preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Bournemouth take on Manchester City on Tuesday 19 May, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Vitality Stadium. Bournemouth are 7th with 15 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Manchester City sit 3rd on 21 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Bournemouth's last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat Crystal Palace 3–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 5. They average 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Manchester City's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Crystal Palace 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Manchester City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.1 for Bournemouth and 2.1 for Manchester City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bournemouth 18%, draw 23%, Manchester City 59%.
Safer route: Manchester City or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Manchester City or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Bournemouth 1–2 Manchester City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bournemouth18%fair 5.43 · @4.20
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @4.10
Manchester City59%fair 1.71 · @1.71
3.17Expected goals
1.10Bournemouth xG
2.07Manchester City xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Bournemouth 1.1 – 2.1 Manchester City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester City to win✗
59%
1.71
1.71
Double chance
Manchester City or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.70
Half-time result
Manchester City ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester City / FT Manchester City✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.10
–
Form
Bournemouth – last 5
WDDDD
3 May
vs Crystal Palace
3–0
W
22 Apr
vs Leeds
2–2
D
20 Mar
vs Manchester United
2–2
D
3 Mar
vs Brentford
0–0
D
28 Feb
vs Sunderland
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Manchester City – last 6
WDWWWL
13 May
vs Crystal Palace
3–0
W
4 May
@ Everton
3–3
D
22 Apr
@ Burnley
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Liverpool
4–0
W
22 Mar
@ Arsenal
2–0
W
17 Mar
vs Real Madrid
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bournemouth and Manchester City.
What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Manchester City?
Our pick is Manchester City or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Manchester City?
On our numbers Bournemouth have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Manchester City 59%.
How many goals will there be in Bournemouth vs Manchester City?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Manchester City?
Our predicted score is Bournemouth 1–2 Manchester City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Bournemouth vs Manchester City?
Bournemouth vs Manchester City (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Vitality Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
