Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle preview and prediction
The match
Newcastle travel to City Ground in the Premier League on Sunday 10 May (14:00 WAT) to face Nottingham Forest. Nottingham Forest are 16th with 9 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Newcastle sit 12th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nottingham Forest's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Aston Villa 0–4 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Newcastle's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Sunderland 1–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Nottingham Forest and 1.4 for Newcastle. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Nottingham Forest 1–1 Newcastle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nottingham Forest40%fair 2.53 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
Newcastle38%fair 2.65 · @2.55
2.80Expected goals
1.42Nottingham Forest xG
1.38Newcastle xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–18%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Nottingham Forest 1.4 – 1.4 Newcastle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nottingham Forest to win✗
40%
2.53
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nottingham Forest / FT Nottingham Forest✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.59
–
Form
Nottingham Forest – last 6
LWWWWD
7 May
@ Aston Villa
0–4
L
4 May
@ Chelsea
3–1
W
30 Apr
vs Aston Villa
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Burnley
4–1
W
16 Apr
vs FC Porto
1–0
W
9 Apr
@ FC Porto
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Newcastle – last 6
LLDWWW
22 Mar
vs Sunderland
1–2
L
18 Mar
@ Barcelona
2–7
L
10 Mar
vs Barcelona
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Manchester United
2–1
W
24 Feb
vs Qarabag
3–2
W
18 Feb
@ Qarabag
6–1
W
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nottingham Forest and Newcastle.
What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle?
On our numbers Nottingham Forest have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Newcastle 38%.
How many goals will there be in Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle?
Our predicted score is Nottingham Forest 1–1 Newcastle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle?
Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at City Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Burnley2
West Ham0