Value bet: Nottingham Forest to win @ 3.50 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrighton to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.40
Brighton vs Nottingham Forest preview and prediction
The match
Nottingham Forest travel to Amex Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 1 March (15:00 WAT) to face Brighton. Brighton are 2nd with 22 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Nottingham Forest sit 16th on 9 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nottingham Forest's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Fenerbahçe 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Brighton and 1.2 for Nottingham Forest. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Nottingham Forest to win at 3.50 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Brighton 1–1 Nottingham Forest. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brighton46%fair 2.16 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.50
Nottingham Forest33%fair 3.02 · @3.50
2.61Expected goals
1.45Brighton xG
1.16Nottingham Forest xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Brighton 1.4 – 1.2 Nottingham Forest expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brighton to win✓
46%
2.16
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brighton / FT Brighton✓
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.40
–
Form
Brighton – last 1
W
21 Feb
@ Brentford
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Nottingham Forest – last 3
LLW
26 Feb
vs Fenerbahçe
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Liverpool
0–1
L
19 Feb
@ Fenerbahçe
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brighton and Nottingham Forest.
What is the prediction for Brighton vs Nottingham Forest?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Brighton vs Nottingham Forest?
On our numbers Brighton have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nottingham Forest 33%.
How many goals will there be in Brighton vs Nottingham Forest?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brighton vs Nottingham Forest?
Our predicted score is Brighton 1–1 Nottingham Forest, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Brighton vs Nottingham Forest?
Brighton vs Nottingham Forest (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Amex Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
