Value bet: Brighton to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrentford to win ✗48% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Brentford vs Brighton preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Brentford take on Brighton on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Brentford Community Stadium. Brentford are 8th with 14 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Brighton sit 2nd on 22 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.6 for Brentford and 1.2 for Brighton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 62%.
Value angle: Brighton to win at 3.40 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Brentford 1–1 Brighton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brentford48%fair 2.09 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.60
Brighton32%fair 3.16 · @3.40
2.78Expected goals
1.57Brentford xG
1.21Brighton xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Brentford 1.6 – 1.2 Brighton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brentford to win✗
48%
2.09
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.66
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.37
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brentford / FT Brentford✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.24
–
Form
Brentford – last 1
W
16 Feb
@ Macclesfield
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Brighton
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brentford and Brighton.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Brentford vs Brighton?
On our numbers Brentford have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Brighton 32%.
How many goals will there be in Brentford vs Brighton?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Brighton?
Our predicted score is Brentford 1–1 Brighton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Brentford vs Brighton?
Brentford vs Brighton (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Brentford Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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