Value bet: Lazio to win @ 2.46 – our chance 49% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLazio to win ✓49% · @2.46
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.45
Cremonese vs Lazio preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Cremonese take on Lazio on Monday 4 May, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stadio Giovanni Zini.
Form guide
Cremonese's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Napoli 0–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Lazio's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Udinese 3–3 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Lazio arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Cremonese and 1.4 for Lazio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cremonese 29%, draw 22%, Lazio 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Lazio to win at 2.46 – 49% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Cremonese 0–1 Lazio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cremonese29%fair 3.45 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.15
Lazio49%fair 2.06 · @2.46
2.31Expected goals
0.96Cremonese xG
1.36Lazio xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Cremonese 1.0 – 1.4 Lazio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lazio to win✓
49%
2.06
2.46 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lazio / FT Lazio✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.45
–
Form
Cremonese – last 6
LDLLLL
24 Apr
@ Napoli
0–4
L
19 Apr
vs Torino
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Bologna
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Fiorentina
1–4
L
8 Mar
@ Lecce
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs AC Milan
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lazio – last 6
DLWWWD
27 Apr
vs Udinese
3–3
D
13 Apr
@ Fiorentina
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Bologna
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs AC Milan
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Sassuolo
2–1
W
4 Mar
vs Atalanta
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cremonese and Lazio.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cremonese vs Lazio?
On our numbers Cremonese have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lazio 49%.
How many goals will there be in Cremonese vs Lazio?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cremonese vs Lazio?
Our predicted score is Cremonese 0–1 Lazio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cremonese vs Lazio?
Cremonese vs Lazio (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giovanni Zini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
