Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Udinese to win @ 3.85 – our chance 32% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLazio to win ✗46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.66
Lazio vs Udinese preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Lazio take on Udinese on Monday 27 April, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stadio Olimpico. Lazio are 1st with 29 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Udinese sit 20th on 5 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lazio's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Fiorentina 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Udinese's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Como 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Lazio and 1.0 for Udinese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lazio 46%, draw 22%, Udinese 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Udinese to win at 3.85 – 32% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lazio 1–0 Udinese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lazio46%fair 2.16 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.20
Udinese32%fair 3.17 · @3.85
2.30Expected goals
1.30Lazio xG
1.00Udinese xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Lazio 1.3 – 1.0 Udinese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lazio to win✗
46%
2.16
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lazio / FT Lazio✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.66
–
Form
Lazio – last 6
LWWWDL
13 Apr
@ Fiorentina
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Bologna
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs AC Milan
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Sassuolo
2–1
W
4 Mar
vs Atalanta
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Torino
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Udinese – last 5
DWWLL
6 Apr
vs Como
0–0
D
20 Mar
@ Genoa
2–0
W
2 Mar
vs Fiorentina
3–0
W
23 Feb
@ Bologna
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Sassuolo
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lazio and Udinese.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lazio vs Udinese?
On our numbers Lazio have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Udinese 32%.
How many goals will there be in Lazio vs Udinese?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lazio vs Udinese?
Our predicted score is Lazio 1–0 Udinese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Lazio vs Udinese?
Lazio vs Udinese (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
