Sassuolo host Como in the Serie A on Friday 17 April, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore. Sassuolo are 17th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Como sit 5th on 23 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sassuolo's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Genoa 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Como's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Udinese 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Como arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Sassuolo and 1.9 for Como. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sassuolo 15%, draw 23%, Como 62%.
Safer route: Como or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sassuolo 0–2 Como. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sassuolo15%fair 6.50 · @4.85
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.85
Como62%fair 1.62 · @1.66
2.67Expected goals
0.81Sassuolo xG
1.86Como xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sassuolo 0.8 – 1.9 Como expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Como to win✗
62%
1.62
1.66
Double chance
Como or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Half-time result
Como ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Como / FT Como✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.78
–
Form
Sassuolo – last 6
LLLWWW
12 Apr
@ Genoa
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Bologna
0–1
L
9 Mar
@ Lazio
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Atalanta
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Verona
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Udinese
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Como – last 6
DWWDWD
6 Apr
@ Udinese
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Pisa
5–0
W
15 Mar
vs AS Roma
2–1
W
3 Mar
vs Inter
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Juventus
2–0
W
18 Feb
@ AC Milan
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sassuolo and Como.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sassuolo vs Como?
On our numbers Sassuolo have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Como 62%.
How many goals will there be in Sassuolo vs Como?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Como?
Our predicted score is Sassuolo 0–2 Como, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sassuolo vs Como?
Sassuolo vs Como (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
