Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultInter to win ✓74% · @1.23
Double chanceInter or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.52
Inter vs Cagliari preview and prediction
The match
Cagliari travel to Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in the Serie A on Friday 17 April (19:45 WAT) to face Inter. Inter are 2nd with 28 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Cagliari sit 9th on 16 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Inter's last 4: WDLL Most recently they beat AS Roma 5–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Cagliari's last 4: LLDL Most recently they lost to Napoli 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Inter arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.3 for Inter and 0.7 for Cagliari. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Inter 74%, draw 15%, Cagliari 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 53% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Inter to win – a 74% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Inter 2–0 Cagliari. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Inter74%fair 1.35 · @1.23
Draw15%fair 6.54 · @5.90
Cagliari11%fair 9.38 · @11.00
2.97Expected goals
2.27Inter xG
0.69Cagliari xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Inter 2.3 – 0.7 Cagliari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter to win✓
74%
1.35
1.23
Double chance
Inter or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.55
Half-time result
Inter ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter / FT Inter✗
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.52
–
Form
Inter – last 4
WDLL
5 Apr
vs AS Roma
5–2
W
3 Mar
@ Como
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs BodoGlimt
1–2
L
18 Feb
@ BodoGlimt
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Cagliari – last 4
LLDL
20 Mar
vs Napoli
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Pisa
1–3
L
27 Feb
@ Parma
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Lecce
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inter and Cagliari.
Our pick is Inter to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Inter vs Cagliari?
On our numbers Inter have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Cagliari 11%.
How many goals will there be in Inter vs Cagliari?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inter vs Cagliari?
Our predicted score is Inter 2–0 Cagliari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Inter vs Cagliari?
Inter vs Cagliari (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
