Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Genoa to win @ 2.52 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGenoa to win ✗44% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.97
Cremonese vs Genoa preview and prediction
The match
Cremonese host Genoa in the Serie A on Sunday 15 February, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadio Giovanni Zini.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Cremonese and 1.3 for Genoa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cremonese 31%, draw 25%, Genoa 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Genoa to win at 2.52 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Cremonese 1–1 Genoa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cremonese31%fair 3.21 · @3.15
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.84
Genoa44%fair 2.28 · @2.52
2.34Expected goals
1.04Cremonese xG
1.30Genoa xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Cremonese 1.0 – 1.3 Genoa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Genoa to win✗
44%
2.28
2.52 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Genoa / FT Genoa✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.97
–
Form
Cremonese
No recent results on record.
Genoa
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cremonese and Genoa.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cremonese vs Genoa?
On our numbers Cremonese have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Genoa 44%.
How many goals will there be in Cremonese vs Genoa?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cremonese vs Genoa?
Our predicted score is Cremonese 1–1 Genoa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cremonese vs Genoa?
Cremonese vs Genoa (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giovanni Zini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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