France U21 travel to Parnu Rannastaadion in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification on Tuesday 29 September (17:00 WAT) to face Estonia U21. Estonia U21 are 6th with 0 points from 10 games, while France U21 sit 1st on 26 points. A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Estonia U21's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Faroe Islands U21 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 3.3 conceded.
France U21's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Japan U18 1–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
France U21 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.1 for Estonia U21 and 2.9 for France U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estonia U21 10%, draw 17%, France U21 73%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.20.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 2.20, above our fair price of 1.78, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Estonia U21 1–2 France U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estonia U2110%fair 10.08 · @29.00
Draw17%fair 5.88 · @17.00
France U2173%fair 1.37 · @1.04
3.93Expected goals
1.07Estonia U21 xG
2.86France U21 xG
56%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–28%
0–38%
1–16%
1–46%
From our goals model: Estonia U21 1.1 – 2.9 France U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
France U21 to win✓
73%
1.37
1.04
Double chance
France U21 or draw✓
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
France U21 ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT France U21 / FT France U21✓
52%
1.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.65
–
Form
Estonia U21 – last 3
LLL
25 Sep
vs Faroe Islands U21
1–2
L
31 Mar
@ Switzerland U21
1–2
L
26 Mar
@ Iceland U21
2–6
L
1.3Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
France U21 – last 6
LWDDWW
27 Sep
vs Japan U18
1–3
L
25 Sep
vs Ukraine U18
1–0
W
25 Sep
@ Iceland U21
1–1
D
23 Sep
vs Austria U18
1–1
D
30 Mar
vs Iceland U21
2–1
W
26 Mar
@ Luxembourg U21
5–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estonia U21 and France U21.
What is the prediction for Estonia U21 vs France U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Estonia U21 vs France U21?
On our numbers Estonia U21 have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 17% and France U21 73%.
How many goals will there be in Estonia U21 vs France U21?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estonia U21 vs France U21?
Our predicted score is Estonia U21 1–2 France U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Estonia U21 vs France U21?
Estonia U21 vs France U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Parnu Rannastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Slovenia U212
Israel U213
Iceland U215
Switzerland U211
Bosnia-Herzegovina U211
Belgium U211
Wales U210
Republic of Ireland U214
Kazakhstan U213