Slovenia U21 vs Israel U21 prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
Value bet: Israel U21 to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Slovenia U21 1.2 – 1.0 Israel U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Slovenia U21 hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 33% for Israel U21.
Slovenia U21 have taken 5 points from their last 3 matches (1W 2D 0L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.3 per game. Israel U21 have 4 points from their last 2 (1W 1D 0L), averaging 0.5 scored and 0.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.2 for Slovenia U21, 1.0 for Israel U21). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (11%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 53% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is close to our fair price of 1.87. For a bigger price, Israel U21 to win at 3.40 is our value angle (33% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Slovenia U21 to win ✗ | 43% | 2.31 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.87 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.10 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Slovenia U21 / FT Slovenia U21 ✗ | 23% | 4.35 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.40 | – |
Form
Slovenia U21 – last 3
| 5 Jun | vs Albania U21 | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Mar | vs Norway U21 | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Mar | @ Bosnia-Herzegovina U21 | 0–0 | D |
Israel U21 – last 2
| 31 Mar | vs Bosnia-Herzegovina U21 | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Mar | @ Hungary U21 | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Slovenia U21 and Israel U21.
UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Germany U21 | 10 | +23 | 27 |
| 2 |  Israel U21 | 10 | +9 | 19 |
| 3 |  Poland U21 | 10 | +17 | 18 |
| 4 |  Hungary U21 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 5 |  Latvia U21 | 10 | -14 | 7 |
| 6 |  San Marino U21 | 10 | -34 | 1 |
More UEFA U21 Championship Qualification predictions
League hub
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Belgium U211
Wales U210
Republic of Ireland U214
Kazakhstan U213Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Slovenia U21 vs Israel U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Slovenia U21 vs Israel U21?
On our numbers Slovenia U21 have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Israel U21 33%.
How many goals will there be in Slovenia U21 vs Israel U21?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Slovenia U21 vs Israel U21?
Slovenia U21 vs Israel U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Mestni stadion Fazanerija.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.