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UEFA U21 Championship Qualification · Europe · Carrow Road

England U21 vs Moldova U21 prediction & analysis

53%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.88 · bookmaker 2.55 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
2.55Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultEngland U21 to win ✓79% · @1.04
Double chanceEngland U21 or draw ✓92% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗16% · fair 6.18

England U21 vs Moldova U21 preview and prediction

The match

England U21 host Moldova U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification on Tuesday 31 March, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Carrow Road. England U21 are 1st with 25 points from 10 games, while Moldova U21 sit 3rd on 12 points. A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.3 for England U21 and 0.5 for Moldova U21. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 45%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 2.55, above our fair price of 1.88, so there is value in it. Predicted score: England U21 2–0 Moldova U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

England U2179%fair 1.26 · @1.04
Draw13%fair 7.70 · @9.40
Moldova U218%fair 12.76 · @34.00
2.77Expected goals
2.27England U21 xG
0.50Moldova U21 xG
45%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–016%
1–014%
3–012%
2–18%
1–17%
4–07%

From our goals model: England U21 2.3 – 0.5 Moldova U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEngland U21 to win ✓79%1.261.04
Double chanceEngland U21 or draw ✓92%1.09–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.811.42
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.91–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗53%1.882.55 ▲
Half-time resultEngland U21 ahead at half-time ✓56%1.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT England U21 / FT England U21 ✓53%1.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗16%6.18–

Form

England U21 – last 1

D
27 Mar@ Andorra U211–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Moldova U21 – last 1

D
26 Mar@ Republic of Ireland U211–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between England U21 and Moldova U21.

England U21 vs Moldova U21 head-to-head page →

UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands U2110820+2926
2Switzerland U2110721+1623
3Moldova U2110334-512
4Wales U2110325+111
5Bulgaria U2110244-110
6Gibraltar U2110019-401

More UEFA U21 Championship Qualification predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for England U21 vs Moldova U21?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.55.

Who will win England U21 vs Moldova U21?

On our numbers England U21 have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Moldova U21 8%.

How many goals will there be in England U21 vs Moldova U21?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for England U21 vs Moldova U21?

Our predicted score is England U21 2–0 Moldova U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is England U21 vs Moldova U21?

England U21 vs Moldova U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Carrow Road.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.