Value bet: Latvia U21 to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNorthern Ireland U21 to win ✓39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.84
Latvia U21 vs Northern Ireland U21 preview and prediction
The match
Latvia U21 host Northern Ireland U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification on Tuesday 31 March, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Daugavas stadions. Latvia U21 are 5th with 7 points from 10 games, while Northern Ireland U21 sit 3rd on 7 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Latvia U21 and 1.2 for Northern Ireland U21. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Latvia U21 to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Latvia U21 1–1 Northern Ireland U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Latvia U2137%fair 2.72 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
Northern Ireland U2139%fair 2.55 · @2.15
2.37Expected goals
1.16Latvia U21 xG
1.21Northern Ireland U21 xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Latvia U21 1.2 – 1.2 Northern Ireland U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Northern Ireland U21 to win✓
39%
2.55
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Northern Ireland U21 / FT Northern Ireland U21✗
21%
4.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.84
–
Form
Latvia U21 – last 1
D
27 Mar
@ Georgia U21
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Northern Ireland U21 – last 1
L
27 Mar
@ Germany U21
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Latvia U21 and Northern Ireland U21.
What is the prediction for Latvia U21 vs Northern Ireland U21?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Latvia U21 vs Northern Ireland U21?
On our numbers Latvia U21 have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Northern Ireland U21 39%.
How many goals will there be in Latvia U21 vs Northern Ireland U21?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Latvia U21 vs Northern Ireland U21?
Our predicted score is Latvia U21 1–1 Northern Ireland U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Latvia U21 vs Northern Ireland U21?
Latvia U21 vs Northern Ireland U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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