Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Wales U21 to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultWales U21 to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceWales U21 or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Wales U21 vs Belarus U21 preview and prediction
The match
Belarus U21 travel to Rodney Parade in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification on Friday 27 March (18:30 WAT) to face Wales U21. Wales U21 are 4th with 11 points from 10 games, while Belarus U21 sit 4th on 12 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for Wales U21 and 1.1 for Belarus U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Wales U21 63%, draw 23%, Belarus U21 14%.
Safer route: Wales U21 or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Wales U21 to win at 1.80 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Wales U21 2–1 Belarus U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wales U2163%fair 1.58 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.60
Belarus U2114%fair 7.06 · @3.75
3.37Expected goals
2.31Wales U21 xG
1.07Belarus U21 xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Wales U21 2.3 – 1.1 Belarus U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wales U21 to win✓
63%
1.58
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Wales U21 or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.40
Half-time result
Wales U21 ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wales U21 / FT Wales U21✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Form
Wales U21
No recent results on record.
Belarus U21
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wales U21 and Belarus U21.
What is the prediction for Wales U21 vs Belarus U21?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Wales U21 vs Belarus U21?
On our numbers Wales U21 have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Belarus U21 14%.
How many goals will there be in Wales U21 vs Belarus U21?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wales U21 vs Belarus U21?
Our predicted score is Wales U21 2–1 Belarus U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Wales U21 vs Belarus U21?
Wales U21 vs Belarus U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Rodney Parade.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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