Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21 prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ukraine U21 2.4 – 0.8 Lithuania U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ukraine U21 are clear favourites at home with a 73% chance of winning, against 11% for Lithuania U21.
We expect around 3.1 goals (2.4 for Ukraine U21, 0.8 for Lithuania U21). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 3–0 (9%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.45 is close to our fair price of 1.61. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.15 is our value angle (52% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ukraine U21 to win ✗ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.15 |
| Double chance | Ukraine U21 or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | 2.15 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.45 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.65 |
| Half-time result | Ukraine U21 ahead at half-time ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ukraine U21 / FT Ukraine U21 ✗ | 49% | 2.05 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.31 | – |
Form
Ukraine U21
No recent results on record.
Lithuania U21
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ukraine U21 and Lithuania U21.
UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spain U21 | 8 | +32 | 24 |
| 2 |  Slovakia U21 | 8 | +8 | 15 |
| 3 |  Northern Ireland U21 | 8 | -10 | 7 |
| 4 |  Lithuania U21 | 8 | -15 | 7 |
| 5 |  Malta U21 | 8 | -15 | 6 |
| 6 |  Russia U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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Poland U214
Armenia U211Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21?
On our numbers Ukraine U21 have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Lithuania U21 11%.
How many goals will there be in Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21?
Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.