Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLuxembourg to win ✓64% · @1.64
Double chanceLuxembourg or draw ✓89% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.61
Luxembourg vs Malta preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Nations League sees Luxembourg take on Malta on Tuesday 31 March, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stade de Luxembourg. Luxembourg are 4th with 3 points from 4 games, while Malta sit 1st on 7 points.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 March 2026, finished Malta 0–2 Luxembourg.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.5 for Luxembourg and 0.4 for Malta. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Luxembourg 64%, draw 24%, Malta 11%.
Safer route: Luxembourg or draw (89%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Luxembourg 1–0 Malta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Luxembourg64%fair 1.55 · @1.64
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.55
Malta11%fair 8.85 · @5.60
1.93Expected goals
1.49Luxembourg xG
0.44Malta xG
47%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–016%
0–015%
1–19%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Luxembourg 1.5 – 0.4 Malta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Luxembourg vs Malta?
On our numbers Luxembourg have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Malta 11%.
How many goals will there be in Luxembourg vs Malta?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Luxembourg vs Malta?
Our predicted score is Luxembourg 1–0 Malta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Luxembourg vs Malta?
Luxembourg vs Malta (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Luxembourg.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Latvia1
Gibraltar0