Value bet: Ouakam to win @ 3.05 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultOuakam to win35% · @3.05
Double chanceEither team to win68% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.46
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals71% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–116% · fair 6.26
Pikine vs Ouakam preview and prediction
The match
Pikine host Ouakam in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 15 November, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT). Pikine are 13th with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Ouakam sit 15th on 3 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pikine's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Génération Foot 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ouakam's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Teungueth 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Ouakam arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for Pikine and 1.0 for Ouakam. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pikine 33%, draw 32%, Ouakam 35%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.46.
Value angle: Ouakam to win at 3.05 – 35% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our prediction: Under 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Pikine 0–1 Ouakam. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pikine33%fair 3.01 · @2.42
Draw32%fair 3.16 · @2.62
Ouakam35%fair 2.85 · @3.05
1.85Expected goals
0.83Pikine xG
1.01Ouakam xG
48%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–016%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Pikine 0.8 – 1.0 Ouakam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Pikine
Ouakam
Attack vs Ligue 1 average
-23%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
+34%
-6%
Our expected goals here
0.74
1.06
Our own ratings from every Ligue 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ouakam to win
35%
2.85
3.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
68%
1.46
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.91
1.46
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
55%
1.82
1.68
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
88%
1.14
1.04
Half-time result
Level at half-time
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
16%
6.26
–
Form
Pikine – last 6
LLLLDW
17 Oct
@ Génération Foot
0–3
L
4 Jun
@ HLM
1–2
L
22 May
vs AS Camberene
1–2
L
17 May
@ Casa Sport
0–1
L
13 May
vs Jaraaf
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Guédiawaye
3–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ouakam – last 6
LWLDDW
17 Oct
@ Teungueth
0–1
L
4 Jun
vs Sonacos
2–1
W
22 May
vs Génération Foot
2–3
L
17 May
@ La Linguère
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ DSC
1–1
D
25 Mar
vs HLM
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pikine and Ouakam.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Pikine vs Ouakam?
On our numbers Pikine have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Ouakam 35%.
How many goals will there be in Pikine vs Ouakam?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pikine vs Ouakam?
Our predicted score is Pikine 0–1 Ouakam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Pikine vs Ouakam?
Pikine vs Ouakam (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
