Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.75 – our chance 51% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +39%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndia to win75% · @1.18
Double chanceIndia or draw91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.98
India vs Bhutan preview and prediction
The match
The SAFF Championship sees India take on Bhutan on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 10:00 (WAT) at Bangabandhu National Stadium. India are 1st with 6 points from 2 games, while Bhutan sit 2nd on 1 points.
Form guide
India's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to New Zealand 0–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Bhutan's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Sri Lanka 1–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.4 for India and 0.7 for Bhutan. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: India 75%, draw 16%, Bhutan 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.75.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.75 – 51% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: India 3–0 Bhutan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
India75%fair 1.33 · @1.18
Draw16%fair 6.19 · @6.25
Bhutan9%fair 11.24 · @13.00
3.15Expected goals
2.43India xG
0.72Bhutan xG
51%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–010%
3–010%
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
From our goals model: India 2.4 – 0.7 Bhutan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
India to win
75%
1.33
1.18
Double chance
India or draw
91%
1.10
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.98
2.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
84%
1.19
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
65%
1.54
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
56%
1.80
1.83
Half-time result
India ahead at half-time
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT India / FT India
51%
1.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.98
–
Form
India – last 6
LWLLDD
12 Nov
@ New Zealand
0–5
L
11 Nov
vs Maldives
1–0
W
6 Oct
vs Uruguay
1–6
L
3 Oct
vs Brazil
0–4
L
25 Sep
vs Panama
1–1
D
9 Jun
@ Tajikistan
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bhutan – last 3
LLW
8 Jun
@ Sri Lanka
1–4
L
4 Jun
@ Cambodia
0–4
L
31 Mar
vs Brunei
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between India and Bhutan.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win India vs Bhutan?
On our numbers India have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Bhutan 9%.
How many goals will there be in India vs Bhutan?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for India vs Bhutan?
Our predicted score is India 3–0 Bhutan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is India vs Bhutan?
India vs Bhutan (SAFF Championship) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Bangabandhu National Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pakistan