Atenas host Oriental in the Segunda División on Thursday 12 November, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT). Atenas are 1st with 44 points from 25 games (top of the table), while Oriental sit 6th on 34 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Atenas's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Colón 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Oriental's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Paysandu 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 August 2026, finished Oriental 0–1 Atenas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Atenas and 1.0 for Oriental. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atenas 41%, draw 26%, Oriental 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.86.
Prediction
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Atenas 1–1 Oriental. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atenas41%fair 2.43 · @2.54
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @2.92
Oriental32%fair 3.09 · @2.59
2.35Expected goals
1.33Atenas xG
1.02Oriental xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Atenas 1.3 – 1.0 Oriental expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Atenas
Oriental
Attack vs Segunda División average
+4%
+10%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
+1%
Our expected goals here
1.36
0.94
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Atenas vs Oriental?
On our numbers Atenas have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Oriental 32%.
How many goals will there be in Atenas vs Oriental?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atenas vs Oriental?
Our predicted score is Atenas 1–1 Oriental, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Atenas vs Oriental?
Atenas vs Oriental (Segunda División) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.