India vs Maldives prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.35
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: India 2.7 – 1.0 Maldives expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
India are clear favourites at home with a 72% chance of winning, against 9% for Maldives.
India have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.8 per game. Maldives have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.5 scored and 3.2 conceded.
We expect around 3.7 goals (2.7 for India, 1.0 for Maldives). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%), 3–0 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.35 is close to our fair price of 1.44.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | India to win | 72% | 1.39 | 1.16 |
| Double chance | India or draw | 91% | 1.10 | 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 50% | 2.00 | 1.84 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 1.16 | 1.09 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 | 1.35 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | 1.75 |
| Half-time result | India ahead at half-time | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT India / FT India | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 | 9% | 11.14 | – |
Form
India – last 6
| 6 Oct | vs Uruguay | 1–6 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Brazil | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Sep | vs Panama | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Jun | @ Tajikistan | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Jun | @ Tajikistan | 1–3 | L |
| 27 May | @ Jamaica | 0–2 | L |
Maldives – last 6
| 1 Oct | vs Lebanon | 0–6 | L |
| 28 Sep | @ Kyrgyzstan | 0–5 | L |
| 24 Sep | @ China | 0–3 | L |
| 7 Jun | vs Bangladesh U23 | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Jun | vs Pakistan | 0–3 | L |
| 31 Mar | vs Timor-Leste | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between India and Maldives.
SAFF Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pakistan | 2 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 |  India | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Maldives | 1 | -3 | 0 |
More SAFF Championship predictions
League hub
Bangladesh
Sri LankaFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for India vs Maldives?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win India vs Maldives?
On our numbers India have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Maldives 9%.
How many goals will there be in India vs Maldives?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is India vs Maldives?
India vs Maldives (SAFF Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Bangabandhu National Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.