Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo preview and prediction
The match
Union Magdalena host Ind. Yumbo in the Primera B on Friday 6 November, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Sierra Nevada. Union Magdalena are 3rd with 4 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Ind. Yumbo sit 4th on 2 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Union Magdalena's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Popayan 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Ind. Yumbo's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Envigado 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 October 2026, finished Union Magdalena 1–1 Ind. Yumbo. Across their last 2 meetings Union Magdalena have won 1, Ind. Yumbo 0, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Union Magdalena and 0.8 for Ind. Yumbo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Magdalena 61%, draw 21%, Ind. Yumbo 18%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Union Magdalena 1–0 Ind. Yumbo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Magdalena61%fair 1.64 · @1.47
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.74
Ind. Yumbo18%fair 5.49 · @5.85
2.42Expected goals
1.67Union Magdalena xG
0.75Ind. Yumbo xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Union Magdalena 1.7 – 0.8 Ind. Yumbo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?
On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ind. Yumbo 18%.
How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?
Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 1–0 Ind. Yumbo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?
Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo (Primera B) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.