Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.09 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSmouha SC to win ✓63% · @1.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.09
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.94
Smouha SC vs El Minya preview and prediction
The match
El Minya travel to face Smouha SC in the Cup on Friday 6 November (13:30 WAT).
Form guide
Smouha SC's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Pyramids FC 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Smouha SC and 0.8 for El Minya. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Smouha SC 63%, draw 18%, El Minya 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.09.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.09 – 55% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Smouha SC 2–0 El Minya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Smouha SC63%fair 1.58 · @1.35
Draw18%fair 5.66 · @4.10
El Minya19%fair 5.23 · @8.05
2.68Expected goals
1.84Smouha SC xG
0.84El Minya xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Smouha SC 1.8 – 0.8 El Minya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Smouha SC to win✓
63%
1.58
1.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.21
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
2.09 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Half-time result
Smouha SC ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Smouha SC / FT Smouha SC✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.94
–
Form
Smouha SC – last 6
LDWWWL
3 Nov
vs Pyramids FC
0–1
L
31 Oct
@ Petrojet
1–1
D
19 Oct
@ El Gouna FC
2–0
W
12 Oct
vs Ghazl El Mehalla
1–0
W
14 Sep
@ El Geish
1–0
W
8 Sep
vs Ceramica Cleopatra
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
El Minya
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Smouha SC and El Minya.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Smouha SC vs El Minya?
On our numbers Smouha SC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and El Minya 19%.
How many goals will there be in Smouha SC vs El Minya?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Smouha SC vs El Minya?
Our predicted score is Smouha SC 2–0 El Minya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Smouha SC vs El Minya?
Smouha SC vs El Minya (Cup) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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