Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.49 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.49Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCA La Paz to win ✓41% · @2.49
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.85
Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz preview and prediction
The match
The Liga De Expansión MX sees Tlaxcala take on CA La Paz on Thursday 5 November, kicking off at 02:05 (WAT) at Estadio Tlahuicole. Tlaxcala are 8th with 22 points from 15 games (in the top half), while CA La Paz sit 1st on 30 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Tlaxcala's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Cruz Azul Hidalgo 2–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
CA La Paz's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Dorados 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 October 2026, finished CA La Paz 2–2 Tlaxcala. Across their last 2 meetings Tlaxcala have won 0, CA La Paz 1, with 1 draw and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.6 for Tlaxcala and 1.8 for CA La Paz. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tlaxcala 37%, draw 22%, CA La Paz 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.49. Predicted score: Tlaxcala 1–2 CA La Paz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tlaxcala37%fair 2.74 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.52
CA La Paz41%fair 2.44 · @2.49
3.40Expected goals
1.65Tlaxcala xG
1.75CA La Paz xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: Tlaxcala 1.6 – 1.8 CA La Paz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?
On our numbers Tlaxcala have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CA La Paz 41%.
How many goals will there be in Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?
Our predicted score is Tlaxcala 1–2 CA La Paz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?
Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 02:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tlahuicole.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
