Value bet: Cancún to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPiratas to win ✗39% · @2.29
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Cancún vs Piratas preview and prediction
The match
The Liga De Expansión MX sees Cancún take on Piratas on Friday 6 November, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT). Cancún are 5th with 25 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Piratas sit 4th on 25 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cancún's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat CDS Tampico Madero 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Piratas's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Tapatío 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 August 2026, finished Piratas 0–1 Cancún.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Cancún and 1.4 for Piratas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cancún 36%, draw 25%, Piratas 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.88.
Value angle: Cancún to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Cancún 1–1 Piratas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cancún36%fair 2.75 · @3.10
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.06
Piratas39%fair 2.56 · @2.29
2.65Expected goals
1.30Cancún xG
1.36Piratas xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cancún 1.3 – 1.4 Piratas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Cancún vs Piratas?
On our numbers Cancún have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Piratas 39%.
How many goals will there be in Cancún vs Piratas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cancún vs Piratas?
Our predicted score is Cancún 1–1 Piratas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cancún vs Piratas?
Cancún vs Piratas (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
