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Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Centenario

Quindio

WLWWW
Mon 16 Nov 2026

Quindio vs Real Cartagena prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultQuindio to win40% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.86

Quindio vs Real Cartagena preview and prediction

The match

Real Cartagena travel to Estadio Centenario in the Primera B on Monday 16 November (02:10 WAT) to face Quindio. Quindio are 1st with 9 points from 4 games (top of the table), while Real Cartagena sit 3rd on 5 points (in the top four).

Form guide

Quindio's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Tigres FC 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Real Cartagena's last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Real Cundinamarca 2–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Quindio arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 4 November 2026, finished Real Cartagena 2–3 Quindio. Across their last 3 meetings Quindio have won 1, Real Cartagena 1, with 1 draw and 3.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Quindio and 1.1 for Real Cartagena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.

Betting angles

Prediction

Our prediction: Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Quindio 1–1 Real Cartagena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Quindio40%fair 2.49 · @2.28
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.04
Real Cartagena32%fair 3.08 · @2.85
2.44Expected goals
1.31Quindio xG
1.13Real Cartagena xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Quindio 1.3 – 1.1 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Footrivo team ratings

QuindioReal Cartagena
Attack vs Primera B average+5%+45%
Goals conceded vs average-17%+12%
Our expected goals here1.371.17

Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultQuindio to win40%2.492.28
Double chanceEither team to win73%1.381.27
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score52%1.941.81
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.441.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals56%1.801.66
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.321.22
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Quindio / FT Quindio23%4.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%11.86–

Form

Quindio – last 6

WLWWWW
12 Novvs Tigres FC1–0W
7 Nov@ Tigres FC0–2L
4 Nov@ Real Cartagena3–2W
29 Octvs Real Cundinamarca2–0W
24 Octvs Tigres FC2–0W
20 Oct@ Depor FC1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Real Cartagena – last 6

DWLDDW
12 Nov@ Real Cundinamarca2–2D
8 Novvs Real Cundinamarca1–0W
4 Novvs Quindio2–3L
29 Oct@ Tigres FC0–0D
24 Oct@ Barranquilla1–1D
20 Octvs Patriotas3–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Nov 2026Real Cartagena v Quindio2–3
16 Oct 2026Quindio v Real Cartagena1–1
1 Apr 2026Real Cartagena v Quindio2–1
Quindio vs Real Cartagena head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Quindio4021109+1473
2Envigado4219149+2171
3Real Cartagena42171510+1766
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC40131413+553
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca34101311+143
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Quindio vs Real Cartagena?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Quindio vs Real Cartagena?

On our numbers Quindio have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Real Cartagena 32%.

How many goals will there be in Quindio vs Real Cartagena?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Quindio vs Real Cartagena?

Our predicted score is Quindio 1–1 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Quindio vs Real Cartagena?

Quindio vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 02:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.