Value bet: Union Magdalena to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✗43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.81
Popayan vs Union Magdalena preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Popayan take on Union Magdalena on Thursday 29 October, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT). Popayan are 1st with 7 points from 3 games (top of the table), while Union Magdalena sit 3rd on 4 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Popayan's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Internacional Palmira 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Union Magdalena's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Depor FC 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Union Magdalena arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 October 2026, finished Popayan 1–1 Union Magdalena.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Popayan and 1.3 for Union Magdalena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Popayan 35%, draw 22%, Union Magdalena 43%.
Value angle: Union Magdalena to win at 2.55 – 43% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Popayan 1–1 Union Magdalena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Popayan35%fair 2.88 · @2.55
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
Union Magdalena43%fair 2.30 · @2.55
2.45Expected goals
1.14Popayan xG
1.32Union Magdalena xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Popayan 1.1 – 1.3 Union Magdalena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Popayan vs Union Magdalena?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Popayan vs Union Magdalena?
On our numbers Popayan have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Union Magdalena 43%.
How many goals will there be in Popayan vs Union Magdalena?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Popayan vs Union Magdalena?
Our predicted score is Popayan 1–1 Union Magdalena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Popayan vs Union Magdalena?
Popayan vs Union Magdalena (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
