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Today's tips
Friendlies · World · Pakhtakor Central Stadium

Uzbekistan

LWWLL
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Russia

DWWWW

Uzbekistan vs Russia prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.34

8/10Rating
1.34Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.92 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.

Quick tips for this match

ResultRussia to win47% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.00

Uzbekistan vs Russia preview and prediction

The match

Russia travel to Pakhtakor Central Stadium in the Friendlies on Thursday 12 November (16:00 WAT) to face Uzbekistan.

Form guide

Uzbekistan's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to South Korea 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded.

Russia's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Nigeria 3–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Russia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Uzbekistan and 1.7 for Russia. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 51% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Prediction

The Footrivo pick: Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.34. Predicted score: Uzbekistan 1–1 Russia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Uzbekistan29%fair 3.42 · @3.70
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.34
Russia47%fair 2.12 · @1.98
3.03Expected goals
1.38Uzbekistan xG
1.66Russia xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%

From our goals model: Uzbekistan 1.4 – 1.7 Russia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Footrivo team ratings

UzbekistanRussia
Attack vs Friendlies average+15%+35%
Goals conceded vs average+4%-21%
Our expected goals here1.541.70

Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRussia to win47%2.121.98
Double chanceEither team to win76%1.311.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.741.92 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals74%1.351.34
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals51%1.972.17 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals70%1.421.18
Half-time resultLevel at half-time39%2.54–
Half-time / full-timeHT Russia / FT Russia27%3.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.00–

Form

Uzbekistan – last 6

LWWLLL
6 Oct@ South Korea0–2L
1 Octvs Syria4–1W
24 Sepvs Iran3–1W
28 Jun@ Congo DR1–3L
23 Jun@ Portugal0–5L
18 Junvs Colombia1–3L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Russia – last 6

DWWWWL
6 Octvs Nigeria3–3D
3 Octvs Namibia6–0W
29 Sepvs Iran2–0W
9 Junvs Trinidad and Tobago3–0W
5 Junvs Burkina Faso3–0W
28 May@ Egypt0–1L
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Uzbekistan and Russia.

Uzbekistan vs Russia head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

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New Zealand India 175%1.28X17%4.7528%8.50 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.20
Thailand U23 Qatar U23 144%2.13X23%3.18232%2.96 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.31
Singapore U23 Vietnam U23 111%7.40X18%4.60271%1.30 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.40
Scotland U21 Ukraine U21 122%3.82X20%3.68258%1.70 GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.58
Lithuania Suriname 129%2.55X41%3.20230%2.45 X2Suriname or draw 71%@1.44
Malta Eswatini 166%1.50X21%4.10213%4.75 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Uzbekistan vs Russia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.

Who will win Uzbekistan vs Russia?

On our numbers Uzbekistan have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Russia 47%.

How many goals will there be in Uzbekistan vs Russia?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Uzbekistan vs Russia?

Our predicted score is Uzbekistan 1–1 Russia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Uzbekistan vs Russia?

Uzbekistan vs Russia (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Pakhtakor Central Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.