Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.77
Nacional Florida vs Juventud preview and prediction
The match
Nacional Florida host Juventud in the Copa Uruguay on Wednesday 28 October, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Juventud's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Penarol 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Nacional Florida and 1.8 for Juventud. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nacional Florida 16%, draw 17%, Juventud 67%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nacional Florida 0–1 Juventud. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nacional Florida16%fair 6.09 · @8.50
Draw17%fair 6.06 · @4.75
Juventud67%fair 1.49 · @1.28
2.51Expected goals
0.69Nacional Florida xG
1.82Juventud xG
48%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Nacional Florida 0.7 – 1.8 Juventud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventud to win✓
67%
1.49
1.28
Double chance
Juventud or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.50
Half-time result
Juventud ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventud / FT Juventud✓
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.77
–
Form
Nacional Florida
No recent results on record.
Juventud – last 6
DLWWDD
24 Oct
vs Penarol
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Progreso
0–2
L
11 Oct
vs Racing Montevideo
2–0
W
8 Oct
@ Plaza Colonia
1–0
W
4 Oct
@ Boston River
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Cerro
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nacional Florida and Juventud.
What is the prediction for Nacional Florida vs Juventud?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Nacional Florida vs Juventud?
On our numbers Nacional Florida have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Juventud 67%.
How many goals will there be in Nacional Florida vs Juventud?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nacional Florida vs Juventud?
Our predicted score is Nacional Florida 0–1 Juventud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Nacional Florida vs Juventud?
Nacional Florida vs Juventud (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
