Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.17
Ferro Carril vs Club Nacional preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Uruguay sees Ferro Carril take on Club Nacional on Thursday 5 November, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Parque Artigas.
Form guide
Club Nacional's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Danubio 2–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.6 for Ferro Carril and 1.9 for Club Nacional. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ferro Carril 11%, draw 18%, Club Nacional 71%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Ferro Carril 0–1 Club Nacional. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ferro Carril11%fair 8.94 · @11.00
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @6.00
Club Nacional71%fair 1.41 · @1.18
2.46Expected goals
0.56Ferro Carril xG
1.90Club Nacional xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–215%
0–310%
1–19%
1–29%
0–09%
From our goals model: Ferro Carril 0.6 – 1.9 Club Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club Nacional to win✓
71%
1.41
1.18
Double chance
Club Nacional or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Half-time result
Club Nacional ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club Nacional / FT Club Nacional✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.17
–
Form
Ferro Carril
No recent results on record.
Club Nacional – last 6
WLWWWW
1 Nov
@ Danubio
2–1
W
25 Oct
vs Liverpool Montevideo
0–1
L
20 Oct
vs Deportivo Maldonado
3–2
W
16 Oct
vs Rentistas
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ Central Espanol
1–0
W
6 Oct
vs Atletico Torque
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferro Carril and Club Nacional.
What is the prediction for Ferro Carril vs Club Nacional?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ferro Carril vs Club Nacional?
On our numbers Ferro Carril have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Club Nacional 71%.
How many goals will there be in Ferro Carril vs Club Nacional?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferro Carril vs Club Nacional?
Our predicted score is Ferro Carril 0–1 Club Nacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ferro Carril vs Club Nacional?
Ferro Carril vs Club Nacional (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Parque Artigas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
