Value bet: Cerrito to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFenix to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.66
Fenix vs Cerrito preview and prediction
The match
Cerrito travel to Parque Capurro in the Segunda División on Saturday 31 October (20:00 WAT) to face Fenix. Fenix are 11th with 31 points from 25 games (in the bottom half), while Cerrito sit 8th on 34 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fenix's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Atenas 0–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Cerrito's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Rentistas 2–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Cerrito arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 August 2026, finished Cerrito 1–1 Fenix.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Fenix and 1.1 for Cerrito. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fenix 46%, draw 23%, Cerrito 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Cerrito to win at 3.40 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Fenix 1–1 Cerrito. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fenix46%fair 2.19 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.00
Cerrito32%fair 3.15 · @3.40
2.49Expected goals
1.39Fenix xG
1.10Cerrito xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Fenix 1.4 – 1.1 Cerrito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Fenix vs Cerrito?
On our numbers Fenix have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cerrito 32%.
How many goals will there be in Fenix vs Cerrito?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenix vs Cerrito?
Our predicted score is Fenix 1–1 Cerrito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fenix vs Cerrito?
Fenix vs Cerrito (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Capurro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
