Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.09 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAFAD to win ✗41% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.09
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.64
Stella vs AFAD preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees Stella take on AFAD on Thursday 5 November, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT). Stella are 11th with 6 points from 5 games (in the bottom half), while AFAD sit 9th on 6 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Stella's last 5: DLWDD Most recently they drew with ASEC Mimosas 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
AFAD's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Yamoussoukro 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Stella arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Stella and 1.2 for AFAD. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stella 34%, draw 26%, AFAD 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.09.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.09 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Stella 1–1 AFAD. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stella34%fair 2.97 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.81
AFAD41%fair 2.47 · @2.60
2.18Expected goals
1.02Stella xG
1.16AFAD xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Stella 1.0 – 1.2 AFAD expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFAD to win✗
41%
2.47
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.09 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.09
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFAD / FT AFAD✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.64
–
Form
Stella – last 6
DLWDDW
4 Oct
@ ASEC Mimosas
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ SOA
1–2
L
23 May
vs Racing d'Abidjan
2–1
W
20 Apr
vs Olympique Sport d'Abobo
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs San-Pédro
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs SOL
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
AFAD – last 6
WLDDLD
1 Nov
vs Yamoussoukro
3–0
W
24 Oct
@ CS Sfaxien
0–1
L
17 Oct
vs CS Sfaxien
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs SOA
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Bouaké
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ East End Lions
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stella and AFAD.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Stella vs AFAD?
On our numbers Stella have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and AFAD 41%.
How many goals will there be in Stella vs AFAD?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stella vs AFAD?
Our predicted score is Stella 1–1 AFAD, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Stella vs AFAD?
Stella vs AFAD (Ligue 1) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
