Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Monagas SC to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaracas FC to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.43
Caracas FC vs Monagas SC preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Caracas FC take on Monagas SC on Sunday 1 November, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT). Caracas FC are 2nd with 6 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Monagas SC sit 4th on 3 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Caracas FC's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Puerto Cabello 1–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Monagas SC's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Deportivo Tachira FC 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Caracas FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 September 2026, finished Caracas FC 0–1 Monagas SC. Across their last 2 meetings Caracas FC have won 0, Monagas SC 1, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Caracas FC and 1.2 for Monagas SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caracas FC 41%, draw 24%, Monagas SC 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Monagas SC to win at 3.10 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Caracas FC 1–1 Monagas SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caracas FC41%fair 2.42 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Monagas SC34%fair 2.91 · @3.10
2.54Expected goals
1.34Caracas FC xG
1.20Monagas SC xG
61%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Caracas FC 1.3 – 1.2 Monagas SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Caracas FC vs Monagas SC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Caracas FC vs Monagas SC?
On our numbers Caracas FC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Monagas SC 34%.
How many goals will there be in Caracas FC vs Monagas SC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caracas FC vs Monagas SC?
Our predicted score is Caracas FC 1–1 Monagas SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Caracas FC vs Monagas SC?
Caracas FC vs Monagas SC (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
