Value bet: Kimberley Mar del Plata to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKimberley Mar del Plata to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceKimberley Mar del Plata or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.60
Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Argentino Monte Maíz preview and prediction
The match
Kimberley Mar del Plata host Argentino Monte Maíz in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Jose Antonio Valle. Kimberley Mar del Plata are 8th with 26 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Argentino Monte Maíz sit 17th on 23 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kimberley Mar del Plata's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Argentino Monte Maíz 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Argentino Monte Maíz's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Kimberley Mar del Plata 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Argentino Monte Maíz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 October 2026, finished Argentino Monte Maíz 0–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata. Across their last 2 meetings Kimberley Mar del Plata have won 1, Argentino Monte Maíz 0, with 1 draw and 0.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Kimberley Mar del Plata and 0.5 for Argentino Monte Maíz. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kimberley Mar del Plata 63%, draw 21%, Argentino Monte Maíz 16%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Kimberley Mar del Plata to win at 1.73 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Kimberley Mar del Plata 1–0 Argentino Monte Maíz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kimberley Mar del Plata63%fair 1.59 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.10
Argentino Monte Maíz16%fair 6.42 · @4.50
1.85Expected goals
1.38Kimberley Mar del Plata xG
0.47Argentino Monte Maíz xG
45%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
0–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
2–17%
From our goals model: Kimberley Mar del Plata 1.4 – 0.5 Argentino Monte Maíz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kimberley Mar del Plata to win✗
63%
1.59
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Kimberley Mar del Plata or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kimberley Mar del Plata / FT Kimberley Mar del Plata✗
What is the prediction for Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Argentino Monte Maíz?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Argentino Monte Maíz?
On our numbers Kimberley Mar del Plata have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Argentino Monte Maíz 16%.
How many goals will there be in Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Argentino Monte Maíz?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Argentino Monte Maíz?
Our predicted score is Kimberley Mar del Plata 1–0 Argentino Monte Maíz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Argentino Monte Maíz?
Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Argentino Monte Maíz (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Antonio Valle.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.