Value bet: Atenas to win @ 3.60 – our chance 32% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFenix to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.33
Atenas vs Fenix preview and prediction
The match
Atenas host Fenix in the Segunda División on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Atenas are 1st with 44 points from 25 games (top of the table), while Fenix sit 11th on 31 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atenas's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Rentistas 0–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fenix's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Paysandu 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Atenas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 July 2026, finished Fenix 1–0 Atenas. Across their last 2 meetings Atenas have won 0, Fenix 2, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Atenas and 1.3 for Fenix. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atenas 32%, draw 24%, Fenix 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Atenas to win at 3.60 – 32% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.77, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atenas 1–1 Fenix. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atenas32%fair 3.14 · @3.60
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @2.90
Fenix45%fair 2.24 · @2.05
2.41Expected goals
1.07Atenas xG
1.34Fenix xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Atenas 1.1 – 1.3 Fenix expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Atenas vs Fenix?
On our numbers Atenas have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fenix 45%.
How many goals will there be in Atenas vs Fenix?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atenas vs Fenix?
Our predicted score is Atenas 1–1 Fenix, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Atenas vs Fenix?
Atenas vs Fenix (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
