Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVolga Ulyanovsk to win ✓66% · @1.47
Double chanceVolga Ulyanovsk or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.40
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow preview and prediction
The match
Chertanovo Moscow travel to Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk) in the Cup on Thursday 5 November (17:30 WAT) to face Volga Ulyanovsk.
Form guide
Volga Ulyanovsk's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Tekstilshchik 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Chertanovo Moscow's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Torpedo Vladimir 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Volga Ulyanovsk and 0.7 for Chertanovo Moscow. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Volga Ulyanovsk 66%, draw 21%, Chertanovo Moscow 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Volga Ulyanovsk 2–0 Chertanovo Moscow. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Volga Ulyanovsk66%fair 1.51 · @1.47
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @4.55
Chertanovo Moscow12%fair 8.07 · @5.70
2.67Expected goals
1.96Volga Ulyanovsk xG
0.72Chertanovo Moscow xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Volga Ulyanovsk 2.0 – 0.7 Chertanovo Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Volga Ulyanovsk to win✓
66%
1.51
1.47
Double chance
Volga Ulyanovsk or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.87
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.27
Half-time result
Volga Ulyanovsk ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Volga Ulyanovsk / FT Volga Ulyanovsk✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.40
–
Form
Volga Ulyanovsk – last 6
DWWDDW
31 Oct
vs Tekstilshchik
1–1
D
25 Oct
vs Veles
1–0
W
18 Oct
@ Ska-khabarovsk
2–1
W
14 Oct
vs Murom
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Rotor Volgograd
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ Veles
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chertanovo Moscow – last 6
DWWWLW
1 Nov
@ Torpedo Vladimir
0–0
D
18 Oct
@ Dinamo Vologda
1–0
W
14 Oct
vs Tekstilshchik
2–1
W
11 Oct
vs Baltika II
1–0
W
4 Oct
@ Yenisey II
1–2
L
21 Sep
vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny
4–2
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Volga Ulyanovsk and Chertanovo Moscow.
What is the prediction for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow?
On our numbers Volga Ulyanovsk have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chertanovo Moscow 12%.
How many goals will there be in Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow?
Our predicted score is Volga Ulyanovsk 2–0 Chertanovo Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow?
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
