Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Drita to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDrita to win ✓64% · @1.91
Double chanceDrita or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.60
Llapi vs Drita preview and prediction
The match
The Superliga sees Llapi take on Drita on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Llapi are 9th with 8 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Drita sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Llapi's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Feronikeli 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Drita's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Ballkani 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 August 2026, finished Drita 5–3 Llapi. Across their last 3 meetings Llapi have won 0, Drita 3, with 0 draws and 4.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Llapi and 1.9 for Drita. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Llapi 13%, draw 23%, Drita 64%.
Safer route: Drita or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Drita to win at 1.91 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Drita or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Llapi 0–1 Drita. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Llapi13%fair 7.78 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.30
Drita64%fair 1.55 · @1.91
2.69Expected goals
0.75Llapi xG
1.94Drita xG
45%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Llapi 0.8 – 1.9 Drita expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Drita or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Llapi vs Drita?
On our numbers Llapi have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Drita 64%.
How many goals will there be in Llapi vs Drita?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Llapi vs Drita?
Our predicted score is Llapi 0–1 Drita, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Llapi vs Drita?
Llapi vs Drita (Superliga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
