Primera Division · NicaraguaMatagalpa vs Walter Ferretti prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Matagalpa 1.5 – 1.5 Walter Ferretti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Matagalpa and Walter Ferretti on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Matagalpa have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Walter Ferretti have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded. Matagalpa come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.5 for Matagalpa, 1.5 for Walter Ferretti). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
In their last 3 meetings, Matagalpa have won 2, Walter Ferretti have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.68.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Walter Ferretti to win ✓ | 39% | 2.54 | 2.40 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Walter Ferretti / FT Walter Ferretti ✓ | 23% | 4.34 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.69 | – |
Form
Matagalpa – last 6
| 11 Oct | vs Real Estelí | 1–4 | L |
| 7 Sep | vs Diriangén | 0–3 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs UNAN Managua | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs Rancho Santana | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | @ Jalapa | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs San Marcos | 1–0 | W |
Walter Ferretti – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ Diriangén | 4–2 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Jalapa | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Sep | vs Managua | 2–3 | L |
| 2 Sep | @ H&H Export | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | @ San Marcos | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | vs UNAN Managua | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 3 Aug 2026 | Walter Ferretti v Matagalpa | 4–1 |
| 19 Apr 2026 | Matagalpa v Walter Ferretti | 4–0 |
| 19 Feb 2026 | Walter Ferretti v Matagalpa | 0–3 |
Primera Division table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Managua | 16 | +34 | 41 |
| 2 |  Diriangén | 16 | +16 | 36 |
| 3 |  Real Estelí | 16 | +15 | 31 |
| 4 |  UNAN Managua | 16 | -2 | 25 |
| 5 |  Walter Ferretti | 16 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 |  H&H Export | 16 | -12 | 20 |
| 7 |  San Marcos | 16 | -7 | 16 |
| 8 |  Jalapa | 16 | -6 | 15 |
| 9 |  Rancho Santana | 16 | -17 | 10 |
| 10 |  Matagalpa | 16 | -27 | 10 |
More Primera Division predictions
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San Marcos2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti?
On our numbers Matagalpa have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Walter Ferretti 39%.
How many goals will there be in Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti?
Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.