Primera Division · Nicaragua
Managua vs San Marcos prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 2.00 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Managua 2.3 – 0.8 San Marcos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Managua are clear favourites at home with a 70% chance of winning, against 11% for San Marcos.
Managua have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. San Marcos have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded. Managua come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.3 for Managua, 0.8 for San Marcos). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Managua have won 1, San Marcos have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 50% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is close to our fair price of 2.00.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Managua to win ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.12 |
| Double chance | Managua or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Half-time result | Managua ahead at half-time ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Managua / FT Managua ✓ | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.79 | – |
Form
Managua – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ Jalapa | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Rancho Santana | 6–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Real Estelí | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Sep | @ Walter Ferretti | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Diriangén | 3–3 | D |
| 31 Aug | @ UNAN Managua | 2–0 | W |
San Marcos – last 6
| 12 Oct | vs H&H Export | 0–2 | L |
| 7 Oct | vs Diriangén | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Jalapa | 3–1 | W |
| 3 Sep | @ Real Estelí | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Walter Ferretti | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Rancho Santana | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 1 Aug 2026 | San Marcos v Managua | 1–4 |
Primera Division table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Managua | 16 | +34 | 41 |
| 2 |  Diriangén | 16 | +16 | 36 |
| 3 |  Real Estelí | 16 | +15 | 31 |
| 4 |  UNAN Managua | 16 | -2 | 25 |
| 5 |  Walter Ferretti | 16 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 |  H&H Export | 16 | -12 | 20 |
| 7 |  San Marcos | 16 | -7 | 16 |
| 8 |  Jalapa | 16 | -6 | 15 |
| 9 |  Rancho Santana | 16 | -17 | 10 |
| 10 |  Matagalpa | 16 | -27 | 10 |
More Primera Division predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Managua vs San Marcos?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Managua vs San Marcos?
On our numbers Managua have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and San Marcos 11%.
How many goals will there be in Managua vs San Marcos?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Managua vs San Marcos?
Managua vs San Marcos (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.