Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultErbil to win ✓67% · @1.60
Double chanceErbil or draw ✓88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.77
Erbil vs Kazma preview and prediction
The match
Kazma travel to Franso Hariri Stadium in the AGCFF Gulf Champions League on Wednesday 4 November (18:00 WAT) to face Erbil.
Form guide
Erbil's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Ghaz Al Shamal 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Kazma's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Ajman 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Kazma arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.6 for Erbil and 1.1 for Kazma. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Erbil 67%, draw 22%, Kazma 12%.
Safer route: Erbil or draw (88%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Erbil or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Erbil 2–1 Kazma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Erbil67%fair 1.50 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.60
Kazma12%fair 8.68 · @4.75
3.65Expected goals
2.56Erbil xG
1.09Kazma xG
57%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–07%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Erbil 2.6 – 1.1 Kazma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Erbil to win✓
67%
1.50
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Erbil or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.30
Half-time result
Erbil ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Erbil / FT Erbil✓
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.77
–
Form
Erbil – last 6
DLLLDW
31 Oct
vs Ghaz Al Shamal
1–1
D
22 Oct
@ Zakho
1–2
L
17 Oct
vs Mosul
0–1
L
14 Oct
@ Ajman
4–5
L
8 Oct
@ Naft Maysan
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Karbala
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kazma – last 6
LWWLDW
27 Oct
vs Ajman
1–2
L
23 Oct
vs Al Sulaibikhat
2–1
W
19 Oct
@ Al Jahra
1–0
W
14 Oct
@ Al-Ettifaq
0–2
L
9 Oct
vs Al Arabi
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Al Shabab
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Erbil and Kazma.
Our pick is Erbil or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Erbil vs Kazma?
On our numbers Erbil have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kazma 12%.
How many goals will there be in Erbil vs Kazma?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erbil vs Kazma?
Our predicted score is Erbil 2–1 Kazma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Erbil vs Kazma?
Erbil vs Kazma (AGCFF Gulf Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Franso Hariri Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al Nasr4
Qatar SC1
Al-Ettifaq2
Ajman0