Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Ferroviária to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFerroviária to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceFerroviária or draw ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.04
Ferroviária vs Maringá preview and prediction
The match
Maringá travel to face Ferroviária in the Serie C on Saturday 24 October (21:00 WAT). Ferroviária are 1st with 11 points from 6 games, while Maringá sit 1st on 11 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ferroviária's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Maringá 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Maringá's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Ferroviária 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 October 2026, finished Maringá 1–1 Ferroviária. Across their last 2 meetings Ferroviária have won 0, Maringá 1, with 1 draw and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Ferroviária and 0.8 for Maringá. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Ferroviária to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ferroviária or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Ferroviária 1–0 Maringá. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ferroviária59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @2.90
Maringá19%fair 5.20 · @3.60
2.46Expected goals
1.66Ferroviária xG
0.80Maringá xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Ferroviária 1.7 – 0.8 Maringá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ferroviária vs Maringá?
Our pick is Ferroviária or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ferroviária vs Maringá?
On our numbers Ferroviária have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Maringá 19%.
How many goals will there be in Ferroviária vs Maringá?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferroviária vs Maringá?
Our predicted score is Ferroviária 1–0 Maringá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ferroviária vs Maringá?
Ferroviária vs Maringá (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
