Value bet: Nouadhibou to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNouadhibou to win ✓64% · @1.73
Double chanceNouadhibou or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓68% · fair 1.47
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓25% · fair 4.01
Nouadhibou vs SNIM preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Nouadhibou take on SNIM on Thursday 29 October, kicking off at 20:50 (WAT). Nouadhibou are 4th with 8 points from 4 games (in the top four), while SNIM sit 12th on 2 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Nouadhibou's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat San-Pédro 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
SNIM's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Nouakchott Academie 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 1.3 for Nouadhibou and 0.4 for SNIM. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nouadhibou 64%, draw 22%, SNIM 14%.
Value angle: Nouadhibou to win at 1.73 – 64% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nouadhibou 1–0 SNIM. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nouadhibou64%fair 1.55 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
SNIM14%fair 7.25 · @4.50
1.64Expected goals
1.29Nouadhibou xG
0.35SNIM xG
32%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–025%
0–019%
2–016%
1–19%
3–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Nouadhibou 1.3 – 0.4 SNIM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nouadhibou to win✓
64%
1.55
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Nouadhibou or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.57 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nouadhibou / FT Nouadhibou✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
25%
4.01
–
Form
Nouadhibou – last 6
WLDDLD
25 Oct
vs San-Pédro
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ San-Pédro
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Vipers
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Vipers
1–1
D
17 May
@ Nouakchott King's
2–3
L
4 May
@ AC Douane
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
SNIM – last 6
LWLLDD
24 May
@ Nouakchott Academie
1–2
L
20 May
@ Tevragh-Zeïne
2–0
W
11 May
vs Pompiers
0–1
L
6 May
@ Inter Nouakchott
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Ksar
2–2
D
16 Feb
@ Gendrim
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nouadhibou and SNIM.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Nouadhibou vs SNIM?
On our numbers Nouadhibou have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SNIM 14%.
How many goals will there be in Nouadhibou vs SNIM?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 32% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nouadhibou vs SNIM?
Our predicted score is Nouadhibou 1–0 SNIM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Nouadhibou vs SNIM?
Nouadhibou vs SNIM (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 20:50 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
