Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Oriental to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultOriental to win ✗60% · @1.70
Double chanceOriental or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.39
Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo preview and prediction
The match
Uruguay Montevideo travel to face Oriental in the Segunda División on Monday 19 October (00:00 WAT). Oriental are 6th with 34 points from 25 games (in the top half), while Uruguay Montevideo sit 14th on 22 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Oriental's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to CA River Plate 1–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Uruguay Montevideo's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Colón 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Oriental arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 July 2026, finished Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 Oriental.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Oriental and 0.7 for Uruguay Montevideo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Oriental to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Oriental 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oriental60%fair 1.68 · @1.70
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.10
Uruguay Montevideo14%fair 7.20 · @4.80
2.37Expected goals
1.67Oriental xG
0.70Uruguay Montevideo xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Oriental 1.7 – 0.7 Uruguay Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Our pick is Oriental to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo?
On our numbers Oriental have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Uruguay Montevideo 14%.
How many goals will there be in Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Oriental 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
