Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.52
Tacuarembo vs La Luz preview and prediction
The match
Tacuarembo host La Luz in the Segunda División on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT). Tacuarembo are 13th with 26 points from 25 games (in the bottom three), while La Luz sit 9th on 34 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Tacuarembo's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Cerrito 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
La Luz's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Plaza Colonia 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
La Luz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 July 2026, finished La Luz 2–0 Tacuarembo. Across their last 2 meetings Tacuarembo have won 0, La Luz 1, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Tacuarembo and 1.1 for La Luz. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tacuarembo 31%, draw 24%, La Luz 45%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Tacuarembo 0–1 La Luz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tacuarembo31%fair 3.23 · @3.25
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.75
La Luz45%fair 2.23 · @2.25
2.00Expected goals
0.87Tacuarembo xG
1.13La Luz xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Tacuarembo 0.9 – 1.1 La Luz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Tacuarembo vs La Luz?
On our numbers Tacuarembo have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and La Luz 45%.
How many goals will there be in Tacuarembo vs La Luz?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tacuarembo vs La Luz?
Our predicted score is Tacuarembo 0–1 La Luz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Tacuarembo vs La Luz?
Tacuarembo vs La Luz (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
