ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
East Bengal II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: East Bengal II to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEast Bengal II to win ✗64% · @1.80
Double chanceEast Bengal II or draw ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.72
ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II preview and prediction
The match
The IFA Shield sees ATK Mohun Bagan take on East Bengal II on Thursday 8 October, kicking off at 13:45 (WAT) at Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan.
Form guide
ATK Mohun Bagan's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Minerva Punjab 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 6. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
East Bengal II's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat NorthEast United 7–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished ATK Mohun Bagan 1–1 East Bengal II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.2 for ATK Mohun Bagan and 2.5 for East Bengal II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: ATK Mohun Bagan 17%, draw 19%, East Bengal II 64%.
Safer route: East Bengal II or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Value angle: East Bengal II to win at 1.80 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was East Bengal II or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: ATK Mohun Bagan 1–2 East Bengal II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ATK Mohun Bagan17%fair 6.03 · @3.75
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @3.50
East Bengal II64%fair 1.55 · @1.80
3.67Expected goals
1.21ATK Mohun Bagan xG
2.46East Bengal II xG
56%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
0–28%
1–38%
1–18%
0–36%
0–16%
From our goals model: ATK Mohun Bagan 1.2 – 2.5 East Bengal II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II?
Our pick is East Bengal II or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II?
On our numbers ATK Mohun Bagan have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 19% and East Bengal II 64%.
How many goals will there be in ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II?
Our predicted score is ATK Mohun Bagan 1–2 East Bengal II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II?
ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II (IFA Shield) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
